Making more likely together
There's one last thing you need to know before you're ready to understand the structure of any argument: sometimes, several claims make another claim more likely together.
Understanding the difference
Consider this variant of Kartik's argument:
- Your team should focus on digital marketing.
- Many customers are in their twenties.
- A recent Pew survey showed that people in their twenties spend 10% more time online than last year.
Generally, you can determine if claims 1 and 2 make claim 3 more likely together by asking yourself: "If one of claim 1 and claim 2 is false, does the other claim still make claim 3 substantially more likely?" If yes, claim 1 and claim 2 make claim 3 more likely independently. If not, claim 1 and claim 2 make claim 3 more likely together.
In diagrams, we represent claims that make another claim more likely together by letting their arrows join:
Why is this important to understand?
If two claims make claim C more likely together, and you don't believe one of the claims, you can ignore the other claim. It doesn't make claim C more likely on its own. In contrast, if two claims make claim C more likely independently, and you don't believe one claim, then the argument might still convince you if you think the remaining claim sufficiently increases the likelihood of claim C. That's why it's important to recognize if two claims make another claim more likely together.
Practice
Let's practice distinguishing whether claims make another claim more likely together or independently. To draw an arrow from two claims that make another claim more likely together, click the arrow buttons on both claims before clicking the claim they make more likely.
Why not in the same box?
If two claims make another claim more likely together, why not just put them in the same box? The reason why we should keep them in separate boxes is illustrated by the following, more complicated argument.